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Prices in the Trade Cycle
1935
by
Tintner
Oskar Morgenstern
Austrian School
Price Theory
Friedrich A. Hayek
Methodology
Interest Rates
Infrastructure
Ludwig von Mises
Price Mechanism
Mathematical Economics
Arthur Spiethoff
Business Cycle Theory
Knut Wicksell
Overproduction
Underconsumption
Joseph Schumpeter
Alfred Marshall
Friedrich von Wieser
Raw Materials
Werner Sombart
Scarcity
Money Market
Competition
Economic Goods
Fixed Capital
Monetary Theory
John Maynard Keynes
Protectionism
Capital Intensity
Agriculture
Gustav Cassel
Eugen von Bohm-Bawerk
Factors of Production
Capital Goods
Income Distribution
Joan Robinson
Monopolistic Competition
Gottfried Haberler
Business Cycles
Capital Movements
Capital Theory
Economic Policy
Fritz Machlup
Table of Contents · 95 segments
1
Title Pages and Publication Information
essay
2
Foreword by Oskar Morgenstern
essay
3
Author's Preface
essay
4
Contents
essay
5
Part I: Introduction
chapter
6
Part II: Statistical Analysis of Price Series, Opening Sections
chapter
7
Separation of Mathematical Expectation and Casual Components: Variance of Finite Differences
theoretical
8
Calculation of Variances by the Method of Moments
theoretical
9
Standard Error of the Variances of Finite-Difference Series
theoretical
10
Approach to Mathematical Expectation by Mechanical Smoothing
theoretical
11
Analysis of Mathematical Expectation into Components: The Secular Trend
theoretical
12
Cyclical and Seasonal Components and the Economic Significance of Decomposition
theoretical
13
Components as Parameters and First Moving-Average Decomposition
theoretical
14
Efficiency of the Variate Difference and Moving Average Methods
theoretical
15
Part III: The Prices in the Trade Cycle — Theoretical Foundations
chapter
16
Price Classification of Several Writers
theoretical
17
Tintner’s Price Classification Scheme and Cycle-Dating Method
theoretical
18
Subdivision of the Cycle
theoretical
19
The Statistical Measurements
theoretical
20
The Sequence of the Prices
theoretical
21
The Measurement of the Mean and the Variance; The Price Material
chapter
22
Investigation and International Comparison of Individual Cycles
chapter
23
Normal Cycles: International Median High and Low Points
chapter
24
Normal Cycles: Commodity Group Medians, Price Participation, and the Second Rhythm
chapter
25
Normal Cycles: Length of the Cycle
chapter
26
Normal Cycles: Relative Duration of Rising and Falling Price Phases
chapter
27
Normal Cycles: Amplitude of the Cyclical Movement
chapter
28
Special Cycles and the Transition to Price-System Analysis
chapter
29
Price System: Frequency of Monthly Price Changes
chapter
30
Price System: Consistency of Response to the Average Cyclical Movement
chapter
31
Price System: Sequence of Prices in Boom and Slump
chapter
32
Price System: Cycle Length, Phase Shares, and Amplitudes
chapter
33
Price System: Mean Monthly Rate of Change in the Cycle
chapter
34
Cyclical Movements of Individual Types of Goods: International Comparison Framework
chapter
35
International Comparison: Correspondence in Cyclical Rhythm
chapter
36
International Comparison: Sequence of Prices Across Countries
chapter
37
International Comparison: General Disturbance in Cyclical Price Movements
chapter
38
International Price Groups and Their Cyclical Characteristics
chapter
39
Natural Origin of Commodities and Cyclical Behavior
chapter
40
Continuity of Production and Cyclical Price Movements
chapter
41
Possibility of Substitution Among Consumers’ Goods
chapter
42
Branches of Production and Cyclical Price Behavior
chapter
43
Stages of Production: Raw Materials, Unfinished Goods, and Consumers’ Goods
chapter
44
Specificity of Means of Production and Cyclical Price Movements
chapter
45
Connected Production, Joint Products, and Labour- versus Capital-Produced Goods
theoretical
46
Wholesale and Retail Prices, Monopoly and Competition, Order Production, and Consumption Classes
theoretical
47
The Dispersion of Prices
chapter
48
Conclusions on Price Behavior in the Trade Cycle
chapter
49
Mathematical Appendix: Formulae of the Variate Difference Method
theoretical
50
The Method of Moving Averages
theoretical
51
Variance Calculation in Moving Averages and a Proposition on Moving Averages
theoretical
52
Mathematical Expectation of the Product of Two Weighted Averages
theoretical
53
Variance of a Quotient and Diminution of Cyclical Amplitude by Successive Smoothings
theoretical
54
French Résumé of Methods, Tables, and Findings
chapter
55
German Summary of Methods, Tables, and Findings
chapter
56
Part VII Heading
chapter
57
Price Material: English Price Series and Sources
chapter
58
Price Material: German Price Series, Retail Prices, Interest, and Freight Rates
chapter
59
Price Material: Dutch, Austrian, Russian, and American Price Series
chapter
60
Statistical Measures for English and German Price Series
chapter
61
Statistical Measures for Not-Analysed German, Dutch, Austrian, and Russian Series
chapter
62
Frequency of Monthly Price Changes: English Prices
chapter
63
Frequency of Monthly Price Changes: German Prices
chapter
64
Timing of Cyclical Phases for Individual Prices
chapter
65
International Comparison of Price Cycles
chapter
66
Prices Not Participating in Certain Cyclical Phases
chapter
67
U.S.A. Prices by Cyclical Phase High and Low Points
chapter
68
VII. Measurements of the Cyclical Movement of Individual Prices
chapter
69
Continuation of Cyclical Measurement Tables for Country and U.S.A. Prices
chapter
70
VIII. Measurement of the Cyclical Movement: Selected Prices
chapter
71
IX. Consistency of Response to the Average Cyclical Movement
chapter
72
X. Mean Length of the Cycle
chapter
73
XI. Duration of the Period of Rising Prices Relative to the Whole Cycle
chapter
74
U.S.A. Prices (Continuation of Preceding Classification)
chapter
75
The Amplitude of the Cyclical Movement
chapter
76
Difference in the Amplitude of the Cyclical Movement at High and Low Points
chapter
77
XIII. Difference of the Amplitude of the Cyclical Movement at High and Low Points (continued)
chapter
78
XIV. Mean Sequence of Prices at the High Point
chapter
79
XV. Mean Sequence of Prices at the Low Point
chapter
80
XVI. Relative Difference of the Sequence at High and Low Points
chapter
81
XVII. Mean Monthly Rate of Change in the Cycle
chapter
82
XVIII. Difference between the Mean Monthly Rise and the Mean Monthly Fall in the Cycle
chapter
83
XIX. Summary Measurements for Price Groups
chapter
84
XX. The Behavior of Different Price Groups in the Cycle: Classification by Origin, Production Factors, Stage, and Specificity
chapter
85
XX. The Behavior of Different Price Groups in the Cycle: Industrial Classification
chapter
86
Subjects' Index
bibliography
87
Subjects' Index
bibliography
88
Authors' Index
bibliography
89
Index of Commodities
bibliography
90
Liste des prix
bibliography
91
Verzeichnis der Preise
bibliography
92
List of Tables in the Text
bibliography
93
List of Figures and 60 Graphs in the Envelopes
bibliography
94
Austrian Institute for Trade Cycle Research Notice
essay
95
Beiträge zur Konjunkturforschung Series List
bibliography