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International mobility and movement of capital

1972

by Machlup et al

Fritz MachlupCapital MovementsBalance of PaymentsEconomic DevelopmentExpectationsFrank KnightMonetary PolicyExchange ControlExchange RatesEuropean UnionDevaluationFiscal PolicyHuman CapitalPrice LevelUnemploymentMoney SupplyDeficit SpendingEffective DemandMonetary EquilibriumLabor MobilityInvestmentPhillips CurveSpecial Drawing RightsBankingJames TobinInterest RatesMathematical EconomicsSpeculationNational IncomeLorenz von SteinResource AllocationFederal ReserveEquilibriumInternational Monetary FundAccountingDepreciationCapital StructureBank of EnglandPlanned EconomyNationalismProfit and LossUncertaintyNationalizationConvertibilityMarket StructureInfrastructureEconomies of ScaleDivision of LaborInnovationBusiness CyclesTrade PolicyComparative AdvantageTax ReformMoney MarketTaxationInternational LiquidityReparationsTerms of TradePerfect CompetitionLiquidityRobert TriffinCapital AccumulationCredit ExpansionVelocity of Circulation

Table of Contents · 201 segments

1
Front Matter: Title Pages, NBER Series, Publication Data, Officers, Directors, and Research Staffessay
2
Contents: Opening Papers and Commentsessay
3
Relation of NBER Directors to Conference Publicationsessay
4
Universities–National Bureau Committee for Economic Researchessay
5
Contents: Remaining Papers, Comments, and Indexesessay
6
Introduction: Conference Background and Editorial Preparationchapter
7
Introduction: Mobility and Movementtheoretical
8
Introduction: Restrictions Imposed by Governmentchapter
9
Introduction: Internationalization of Capital Marketschapter
10
Introduction: Capital Movements and Balance of Paymentschapter
11
Introduction: Assemblage Without Visible Organizationchapter
12
Introductory Organization and Commentary Arrangementsessay
13
Abstracts of the Papersessay
14
Tabular Characterization of the Papersessay
15
The Commentatorsessay
16
The Editorsessay
17
Cohen: The United Kingdom as an Exporter of Capital, Introduction and Entrepôt Thesisessay
18
Cohen: Magnitude and Direction of British Capital Exportsessay
19
Cohen: Composition of Official, Private, Direct, and Portfolio Capital Movementsessay
20
Cohen: British Capital Controls and Policy Trade-Offsessay
21
Cohen Appendix: Cost Calculations for Demand Management and Trade Restrictionessay
22
Hawkins: Intra-EEC Capital Movements and Domestic Financial Markets, Introductionessay
23
Advantages, Costs, and EEC Approach to Financial-Market Integrationessay
24
Intra-EEC Capital Flows: Private Long-Term Capital Evidenceessay
25
Public, Short-Term, Eurodollar, and Eurobond Channels of EEC Financial Integrationessay
26
Harmonization of Interest Rates as Evidence of EEC Financial Integrationessay
27
Conclusion on the Slow Pace of EEC Financial Integrationessay
28
Arthur I. Bloomfield’s Comments on Cohen and Hawkinsessay
29
Raymond F. Mikesell’s Comments on Capital Movements, Britain, and EEC Integrationessay
30
John E. Floyd, Portfolio Equilibrium and the Theory of Capital Movements: Introductiontheoretical
31
Capital Movements in a Theory of Portfolio Equilibriumtheoretical
32
Capital Movements and Portfolio Equilibrium in a Fully Employed Economytheoretical
33
Diagrammatic Treatment of Asset, Goods, and Foreign-Exchange Equilibriumtheoretical
34
Monetary and Commercial Policy under Portfolio Equilibriumtheoretical
35
Fiscal Policy and Domestic Demandtheoretical
36
Foreign Inflation and the Domestic Economytheoretical
37
Conclusions: Portfolio-Balance Capital Movementsessay
38
References for the Portfolio-Balance Capital Movements Essaybibliography
39
Capital Mobility and Payments Equilibrium: Opening Framework and Notationessay
40
The Equilibrium Ratio of External Debt to Capitaltheoretical
41
The Adjustment Process — Perfectly Mobile Labortheoretical
42
The Adjustment Process — Completely Mobile Capital and Completely Immobile Labortheoretical
43
The External Constraint and the Characteristics of the Equilibriumtheoretical
44
The External Constraint and Fiscal Policytheoretical
45
Conclusion: Dynamic Balance-of-Payments Equilibriumtheoretical
46
Appendix: Difference Equation Model of External Constrainttheoretical
47
Robert Z. Aliber Comment: Portfolio Balance, Currency Areas, and International Financeessay
48
Anthony Lanyi Comment: External Balance, Long-Run Equilibrium, and Policy Relevanceessay
49
Leamer and Stern Paper Opening: Problems in Theory and Empirical Estimation of International Capital Movementstheoretical
50
Introduction: Difficulties in Capital-Account Analysistheoretical
51
Theoretical Problems: Activity Models and Portfolio Adjustmenttheoretical
52
Critique of Portfolio-Adjustment Activity Modelstheoretical
53
Transaction Models: Beginning a Transactor-Oriented Frameworktheoretical
54
Transaction Models: Transactor Categories and Behavioral Characteristicstheoretical
55
Choice of Explanatory Variables: Short-Term, Portfolio, and Direct Investmenttheoretical
56
Empirical Problems in Estimating International Capital Movementsessay
57
Empirical Evidence and Implications for Further Researchessay
58
Bryant and Hendershott: Empirical Analysis of Capital Flows—Basic Frameworkessay
59
Estimation of Lagged Responses: Reasons for Lagged Responsestheoretical
60
Methods of Estimating Lagged Responsestheoretical
61
Further Results: Lagged Responses in Japanese Foreign-Exchange Bank Borrowingessay
62
Testing the Linear Homogeneity Assumptionessay
63
1964–68 Estimates and Stability Testsessay
64
Alternative Specifications and Misspecification Problemsessay
65
Concluding Note on Econometric Research into Capital Flowsessay
66
References for Bryant and Hendershott Studybibliography
67
Stanley W. Black Comment on Leamer and Sternessay
68
Stanley W. Black Comment on Bryant and Hendershottessay
69
Elinor B. Yudin Comment: Activity Versus Transactoressay
70
Elinor B. Yudin Comment: Progress in Econometric Analysisessay
71
Elinor B. Yudin Comment: Uneasy Reactions to Strong A Priori Theoryessay
72
Miller and Whitman: Introduction to Short-Term U.S. Capital Outflowstheoretical
73
Miller and Whitman: The Risk-Return Model of Demand and Supplytheoretical
74
Miller and Whitman: Implementation and Estimating Equationstheoretical
75
Empirical Results: Regressions for the Foreign-Asset Ratioessay
76
Estimating the Short-Term Capital Flowessay
77
Effects of Changes in Explanatory Variables on Short-Term Capital Flowsessay
78
Appendix: Variable Definitions and Data Sourcesessay
79
References for the Short-Term Capital Flow Studybibliography
80
Policy Toward Short-Term Capital Movements: Introduction, Capital Flows, and Policyessay
81
Portfolio-balance model and 1960–64 estimates of U.S. short-term capital claimstheoretical
82
Impact of U.S. capital controls on short-term claims, 1965–68essay
83
Interest-rate constraints under sliding-parity exchange ratestheoretical
84
References for Branson and Willett paperbibliography
85
M. June Flanders comment on capital-mobility studiesessay
86
Rudolf R. Rhomberg comment on methodology, econometrics, and crawling pegsessay
87
Stevens introduction and definition of direct-investment capital flowsessay
88
Previous research on international firms and direct-investment modelsessay
89
Aggregative time-series model, Modigliani-Miller theorem, and exchange-risk minimizationtheoretical
90
Critique of the Department of Commerce direct-investment modelessay
91
Empirical Results: Data and Plant and Equipment Expendituresessay
92
Empirical Results: Investment in Current Assetsessay
93
Empirical Results: Financial Flow Equationsessay
94
Performance of the Department of Commerce Modelessay
95
Impact of 1965-68 Balance-of-Payments Programs: Plant and Equipmentessay
96
Impact of Balance-of-Payments Programs: Current Assets and Financial Flowsessay
97
Conclusionsessay
98
Appendix A: Theoretical Modelstheoretical
99
Appendix B: Current Assets, Financial Flows, and Total Asset Changesessay
100
Appendix B: Sales and Investment Data, 1957-68essay
101
Appendix B: Estimating Sales and Depreciationessay
102
Comments by Sidney Robbins and Robert B. Stobaugh: Overviewessay
103
Comments: Modigliani-Miller in the International Areaessay
104
Comments: Minimization of Exchange-Rate Lossesessay
105
Comments: Foreign Direct Investment Forecastingessay
106
Comments: Accounting Problems in Reported Dataessay
107
Comments: Expenditures for Plant and Equipmentessay
108
Comments: Homogeneity of the Sampleessay
109
Conclusion on Stevens's Financing Program Analysisessay
110
Robert E. Lipsey Comment on Stevens's Direct Investment Modelessay
111
Severn: Introduction to Investment and Financial Behavior of American Direct Investorsessay
112
Severn: Model Formulation, Variables, and Scaling Problemtheoretical
113
Severn: Scaling Justification, Normalized Equations, and Estimation Choicestheoretical
114
Severn: Empirical Results for Investment, Dividends, and Net Outflowessay
115
Severn: Policy Simulations for Recession and Corporate Tax Surchargeessay
116
Severn: Conclusions on Multinational Investment and Financial Behavioressay
117
Gillespie: Title Page for Policies of England, France, and Germany as Recipients of Foreign Direct Investmentchapter
118
Introduction to Gillespie’s Comparative Study of Inward Foreign Direct Investmentessay
119
Review of Policies: The English Caseessay
120
Review of Policies: The French Caseessay
121
Review of Policies: The German Caseessay
122
Comparative Analysis: Statistical Analysis of American Direct Investment Flowsessay
123
Comparative Analysis: Economic Determinantsessay
124
Political Determinants, EEC Policy, and Conclusionsessay
125
Comments by Merle Yahr Weissessay
126
Comments by Arnold W. Sametz and Opening of Prachowny Paperessay
127
Introduction to Prachowny's Portfolio Approach to Direct Investmentessay
128
Tobin-Markowitz Model of the Optimum Stock of Foreign Direct Investmenttheoretical
129
Capital Flows and Stock Changes in Direct Investmenttheoretical
130
General Empirical Estimation Equations for Direct-Investment Stocksessay
131
Data, Lags, and Estimating Techniquesessay
132
Findings on American Direct Investment Abroad and the Voluntary Restraint Programessay
133
Findings on Foreign Direct Investment in the United Statesessay
134
Policy Conclusions from the Portfolio Model of Direct Investmentessay
135
References for Prachowny's Direct Investment Paperbibliography
136
Introduction to Reuber and Roseman on Foreign Take-Overs in Canadaessay
137
Relative Importance of Foreign Take-Overs in Canadaessay
138
Leading Characteristics of Merging Firms in Canadaessay
139
Reported Reasons for Mergingessay
140
Interindustry Mix of Foreign Take-Over Activity: Definitions, Variables, and Main Resultschapter
141
Significant Associations: Foreign Control, Tariffs, and Internal Cash Flowchapter
142
Insignificant Associations in Foreign Take-Over Activitychapter
143
Macroeconomic Influences on Foreign Take-Overs: Conceptual Framework and Variableschapter
144
Estimated Time-Series Relationships for Foreign Take-Overschapter
145
Tests of the Foreign Take-Over Relationshipschapter
146
Summary and Conclusions on Foreign Take-Overs in Canadachapter
147
Appendix: Subperiod Estimates for Equation (5)chapter
148
Robert E. Lipsey Comment on Prachowny’s Direct Investment Modelessay
149
Robert E. Lipsey Comment on Reuber and Rosemanessay
150
Ronald I. McKinnon Comment on Prachownyessay
151
Ronald I. McKinnon Comment on Reuber and Rosemanessay
152
Dobell and Wilson: Introduction to Taxation, Capital Flows, and the Balance of Payments in Canadaessay
153
Equilibrium Conditions in the Dobell-Wilson Modeltheoretical
154
Specification of Behavioral Relations: Portfolio-Capital Flowstheoretical
155
Portfolio capital flow sensitivities and structural coefficientstheoretical
156
Direct investment and dividend outflowstheoretical
157
Net exports, domestic securities demand, and personal savingtheoretical
158
Corporate retentions of resident and foreign-owned firmstheoretical
159
Investment, new equity issues, and government revenue equationstheoretical
160
Alternative Canadian tax systems and revenue effectsessay
161
Impact vectors for tax reform shockstheoretical
162
Compensatory fiscal and monetary policy adjustmentstheoretical
163
Balance-of-payments effects of tax reformsessay
164
Capital market and sources-and-uses effects of tax reformsessay
165
Sensitivity checks and conclusions on tax reform constraintsessay
166
Capital movements and economic growth in developed countriestheoretical
167
Concept and Measurement of Net Factor Income Earned Abroadessay
168
Preliminary Sign Test of NFIEA and the Current Accountessay
169
Basic Steady-State Growth Model of Capital Movementstheoretical
170
The Share of GNP Savedtheoretical
171
The Share of GDP Investedtheoretical
172
Definitions of NFIEA and Determinants of the Steady-State Ratiotheoretical
173
Behavior Assumptions for the Open-Economy Growth Modeltheoretical
174
Statistical Testing of the Capital-Movements Modelessay
175
Conclusiontheoretical
176
Appendix: The Solution and Stability of the Modeltheoretical
177
Referencesbibliography
178
Comments by Lorie Tarshisessay
179
Comments by Bela Balassaessay
180
Financial Intermediation as an Explanation of Enduring Deficits: Introduction and IFI Hypothesistheoretical
181
Alternative Theories of Enduring Deficitstheoretical
182
Criticisms of the IFI Hypothesis and Policy Implicationstheoretical
183
Remaining Monetary-System Objections to International Financial Intermediationtheoretical
184
Criticisms of Positive Analysis of International Financial Intermediationtheoretical
185
Differences in Liquidity Preference as an Explanation of IFItheoretical
186
Greater Competitiveness of American Financial Intermediariestheoretical
187
Greater Efficiency of American Financial Intermediariestheoretical
188
U.S. Balance-of-Payments Changes Since 1968 and the IFI Hypothesistheoretical
189
Concluding Observations on Portfolio Balance and Equilibrium Deficitstheoretical
190
Addendum on Machlup's Transfer Gap of the United Statestheoretical
191
Addendum on Laffer's Anti-Traditional Theorytheoretical
192
References for the Salant Essay on International Financial Intermediationbibliography
193
Arthur B. Laffer, International Financial Intermediation: Introductionessay
194
Laffer's Formal Interpretation of International Financial Intermediationtheoretical
195
International Financial Intermediation: Empirical Analysischapter
196
Appendix: Quarterly Data and Sources for the IFI Regressionchapter
197
References for Laffer’s IFI Analysisbibliography
198
Joseph M. Burns Comment on Salant and Lafferessay
199
Franco Modigliani Comment on Salant’s IFI Hypothesisessay
200
Author Indexbibliography
201
Subject Indexbibliography