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International Monetary Economics

1966

by Machlup

Monetary TheoryFritz MachlupGottfried HaberlerBalance of PaymentsCapital MovementsDevaluationGold ReservesExchange RatesInternational LiquidityTerms of TradeEmpiricismInternational TradeMethodologyFriedrich A. HayekJacob VinerJohn Maynard KeynesElasticity of DemandProtectionismVelocity of CirculationInflationPrice LevelPurchasing PowerGold StandardHoardingInterest RatesSavingCredit ExpansionSpeculationFree BankingCentral BankingMoney MarketIncome DistributionJan TinbergenSupply and DemandDeflationInternational Monetary FundCapital AccumulationEconomic DevelopmentExchange ControlAccountingFiscal PolicyMonetary PolicyInnovationComparative AdvantageEconomies of ScalePrice ControlsJohn HicksTrade UnionsWage RigidityEconomic PolicyNational IncomeEquilibriumJoan RobinsonValue JudgmentsWelfare EconomicsAlfred MarshallJoseph SchumpeterUnemploymentFederal ReserveRobert TriffinDepreciationPrice TheoryReal IncomeMoney SupplyKeynesian EconomicsProductivityResource AllocationPrice MechanismLiquidityMarginal CostOpportunity CostWorld War IIOpen Market OperationsBankingDeficit SpendingPublic FinanceCapital FlightFrancis Ysidro EdgeworthKnut WicksellEffective DemandCompetitionExternalitiesMilton FriedmanGresham's LawBretton WoodsJacques RueffEuropean UnionMonetary ReformHjalmar SchachtReparationsWorld War IDavid RicardoTreaty of VersaillesAdam SmithWalter EuckenWeimar RepublicCapital ConsumptionTaxationReichsbankFree TradeJohn Stuart MillProduction CostsDumpingStockholm SchoolWagesPolitical Economy

Table of Contents · 221 segments

1
Routledge Library Editions Publication Front Matterchapter
2
Original Edition Title and Copyright Noticeschapter
3
Acknowledgmentsessay
4
Prefaceessay
5
Contentschapter
6
List of Graphic Illustrationschapter
7
List of Tableschapter
8
List of T-Account Sets and Modelschapter
9
Introduction to Part One: Foreign Exchange and Balance of Paymentstheoretical
10
Earlier Versions and Record of Changes for Chapters I–VIbibliography
11
Editorial Source Note on Chapter VIIbibliography
12
The Theory of Foreign Exchanges: Introduction and Plantheoretical
13
Sources of Supply and Purposes of Demand in the Foreign-Exchange Markettheoretical
14
Elasticities in Commodity Trade: Export Supply of Foreign Exchangetheoretical
15
Elasticity of Foreign Demand for Exports and Backward-Bending Foreign-Exchange Supplytheoretical
16
Demand for Foreign Exchange for Imports and the Transition to Capital Movementstheoretical
17
Elasticity of Foreign-Exchange Demand for Transfers, Debts, Tributes, and Foreign Investmenttheoretical
18
Capital Exports, Exchange-Rate Adjustment, and the Emergence of an Export Surplustheoretical
19
Capital Movements and the Balance of Trade: Logical Resulttheoretical
20
Invisible Exports and Imports as Sources of Foreign Exchange Demand and Supplytheoretical
21
Shifts in Importers’ Demand and Exporters’ Supply from New Exchange Demandstheoretical
22
Purchasing-Power Flows, Transfer Effects, and Commodity Trade Curvestheoretical
23
Purchasing Power Parity, Inflation, and Exchange-Rate Determinationtheoretical
24
Gold Movements, the Gold Standard, and Gold Arbitragetheoretical
25
Capital Exports and Gold Outflows under the Gold Standardtheoretical
26
Gold Outflows, Income Deflation, and the Adjustment of Foreign Exchange Supply and Demandtheoretical
27
Catalogue of Factors Producing an Export Surplus after Capital Exports or Payments Abroadtheoretical
28
Exchange Stabilisation Funds as Modern Equivalents of Gold Arbitragetheoretical
29
Sterilisation When Exchange Stabilisation Fund Operations Are Financed by Public Borrowingtheoretical
30
Exchange Stabilisation Funds, Foreign Balances, and Private Peggingtheoretical
31
Commercial Bank Pegging and Reserve Flexibilitytheoretical
32
Private Dealer Pegging and the Gold Standard Analogytheoretical
33
Foreign-Exchange Theory under Flexible Exchanges and a Pure Gold Standardtheoretical
34
Section 29: Foreign Bank Balances and Gold Movementstheoretical
35
Section 30: Exchange Stabilisation Funds and Interest Ratestheoretical
36
Section 31: Capital Transfers, Promissory Notes, and Rate Effectstheoretical
37
Section 32: Indeterminate Speculation without Exchange Policytheoretical
38
Section 33: Exchange-Rate Expectations, Trade Timing, and Long-Period Analysistheoretical
39
Statistical Balance of Payments versus Foreign-Exchange Supply and Demandtheoretical
40
Elasticity Pessimism in International Trade: Introduction and Argumentschapter
41
Overestimation of Required Elasticities for Depreciationtheoretical
42
Underestimation of Actual Trade Elasticitiestheoretical
43
Three Concepts of the Balance of Payments: Introductionchapter
44
The Market Balance of Paymentstheoretical
45
The Programme Balance of Paymentstheoretical
46
The Accounting Balance of Payments: Definitiontheoretical
47
Carried-Over Footnote on German Trade-Balance Pliabilityfootnotes
48
The Accounting Balance of Payments: Selected Accounts and Limitstheoretical
49
Perfect Accounting Balance versus Market Balancetheoretical
50
IMF Compensatory Official Financing and the Dollar Deficittheoretical
51
Conclusions on Three Balance-of-Payments Concepts and Transition to Dollar Shortagetheoretical
52
Dollar Shortage and Productivity Growth Disparities: Outline and Introductionessay
53
Meaning and Causes of Dollar Shortage: Monetary Policy versus Structural Conditionsessay
54
Balogh’s Productivity-Disparity Hypotheses and Missing Explanationessay
55
Haberler’s Critique and Balogh’s Continued Structural Claimsessay
56
Williams and Hicks on Productivity Growth, Import-Biased Progress, and the Dollar Shortagetheoretical
57
Disparities in the Growth of Productivity: Empirical Objections and Wage-Rigidity Implicationstheoretical
58
Growth Rates versus the Incidence of Technological Changetheoretical
59
Comparative Advantage, Adjustment Costs, and Trade Policytheoretical
60
Dollar Shortage: Structural Conditions or Economic Policytheoretical
61
Equilibrium and Disequilibrium: Misplaced Concreteness and Disguised Politicschapter
62
A Brief Review of the Uses of Equilibrium Concepts in Economicstheoretical
63
The Role of Equilibrium in Economic Analysistheoretical
64
Misplaced Concreteness and Disguised Politicstheoretical
65
Equilibrium in International Trade Theorytheoretical
66
Comments on "The Balance of Payments"essay
67
The Mysterious Numbers Game of Balance-of-Payments Statisticsessay
68
Three Reasons for Revisions and New Versions (continued)essay
69
The U.S. Balance of Payments in 1951 and the Not So Stubborn Facts of Historyessay
70
The U.S. Balance of Payments in 1959 and 1960essay
71
Contradictory Balance Findings and the Setup for Juggling Itemsessay
72
Juggling Items and Arbitrary Distinctions in Payment Balancesessay
73
Modern Presentations, Debates, and the Sense of Balance-of-Payments Accountingessay
74
Part Two Introduction: The Effects of Devaluationchapter
75
Preview of Chapters VIII and IXchapter
76
Major Themes in the Analysis of Devaluationtheoretical
77
Earlier Versions and Record of Changes for Chapter VIIIbibliography
78
Publication Note for Chapter IX: The Terms-of-Trade Effects of Devaluation upon Real Income and the Balance of Tradebibliography
79
Relative Prices and Aggregate Spending in the Analysis of Devaluationchapter
80
Some Consequences of Neglecting Relative Pricestheoretical
81
Reasoning from Definitional Equationstheoretical
82
Implicit shifts of emphasis and comparison of the income-absorption and elasticities approachesessay
83
The Terms-of-Trade Effects of Devaluation upon Real Income and the Balance of Trade: introduction and current viewschapter
84
The relevant terms-of-trade concepttheoretical
85
Terms-of-Trade Effects, Income, and the Equality Ruletheoretical
86
Illustration by Analogy: Free-Lance Writer and Resource Reallocationtheoretical
87
Benefits from Deteriorated Terms of Trade and Resource Reallocationtheoretical
88
Real Output, Intake, and Incometheoretical
89
Primary and Secondary Burden of Devaluationtheoretical
90
Income, Propensities to Spend, and Appendix Tests of Terms-of-Trade Effectstheoretical
91
Part Three Introduction: Gold and Foreign Reserveschapter
92
Preview of Chapters X-XIIIchapter
93
Major Themes: Gold and Foreign Reservestheoretical
94
Earlier Versions and Record of Changes for Chapters X-XIIbibliography
95
Editorial Note on Chapter XIII: Further Reflections on the Demand for Foreign Reservesfootnotes
96
Eight Questions on Gold: Context and Agendaessay
97
Dollar Devaluation and Possible Gold-Price Reductionessay
98
Costs and Benefits of Large Gold Importsessay
99
Gold as an International Means of Paymentessay
100
The Value of Goldessay
101
Commodity and Currency Value of Goldtheoretical
102
Domestic Circulation of Gold Coinstheoretical
103
Gold, Public Debt, and Large Gold Reservestheoretical
104
Postscript After 23 Yearsessay
105
Chapter XI: A Proposal to Reduce the Price of Goldchapter
106
Raising the Price of Goldtheoretical
107
Reducing the Price of Gold and the Dollar Shortage-to-Glut Transitiontheoretical
108
Our Power over the Price of Goldtheoretical
109
Prospective Gold Sales After an Announced Gold-Price Reductionessay
110
Effects upon Money Markets and International Reservestheoretical
111
The Fuzzy Concepts of Liquidity: Introduction, Semantic Clarification, and the Narrow Gold Coverchapter
112
The Meanings of Liquiditytheoretical
113
Possible Disposers of Funds and Intragroup Nettingtheoretical
114
Non-Additive Liquidity in Aggregatestheoretical
115
International Liquidity and Non-Additive Central-Bank Reservestheoretical
116
Liquidity Preference, Domestic and Internationaltheoretical
117
International-Liquidity Preference and Foreign-Reserve Demand: Conclusiontheoretical
118
Further Reflections on the Demand for Foreign Reserves: Introductionchapter
119
The Needs of Tradetheoretical
120
Reserves for Contingent Liabilitiestheoretical
121
Large, Small, or No Reservestheoretical
122
Large, Small, or No Reservestheoretical
123
Private versus Official Foreign Reserves: Opening Problemtheoretical
124
Private versus Official Foreign Reserves: Risk Pooling, Competition, and Market Evaluationtheoretical
125
External Benefits of Foreign Reserve Holdingtheoretical
126
External Benefits, Official Reserves, and Rigged Exchange Ratestheoretical
127
The Demand for Foreign Reservestheoretical
128
Introduction to Part Four: Reform Plans and Preview Headingchapter
129
Preview of Chapter XIV: Plans for Reform of the International Monetary Systemchapter
130
Major Themes and Opening of Earlier Version and Record of Changestheoretical
131
Chapter XIV Publication History and Record of Changesbibliography
132
Chapter XIV Introduction: Plans for Reform of the International Monetary Systemchapter
133
A. The Present System: Overviewchapter
134
Foreign Reserves: Gold-Exchange Standard, IMF Positions, and Aggregate Reserve Growthchapter
135
Distribution and Composition of Foreign Reserves by Countrychapter
136
The International Monetary Fund: terminology and official definitionschapter
137
IMF quotas, tranches, drawing rights, and reserve accountingchapter
138
Charges against the system: balance-of-payments difficultieschapter
139
Inadequacy of International Reservestheoretical
140
Danger of Collapse of the Gold-Exchange Standardtheoretical
141
A Selection of Reform Planstheoretical
142
Extension of the Gold-Exchange Standard and Multiple-Currency Reservestheoretical
143
Forms of Mutual Assistance among Central Bankstheoretical
144
IMF-Mediated Support Plans of Zolotas, Bernstein, and Jacobssontheoretical
145
Theoretical Case for Supporting Hot-Money Deficits Rather than Basic-Balance Deficitstheoretical
146
Centralization of Monetary Reserves and the Keynes Clearing Uniontheoretical
147
Triffin and Stamp Plans for International Reserve Creationtheoretical
148
Day and Angell Variants of the Expanded I.M.F.theoretical
149
Harrod Plans and the Maudling Mutual Currency Accounttheoretical
150
Extended Bernstein Plan, Day’s Reserve-Growth Rule, and Comparative Table of Planstheoretical
151
Credit Transfer Versus Credit Creation by the Fundtheoretical
152
Mechanics of Increasing the Price of Goldtheoretical
153
Gold Revaluation, the Gold-Exchange Standard, and Competing Reformerstheoretical
154
Gold Hoarding, Speculation, and Proposals to Reduce the Gold Pricetheoretical
155
Miyata and Wonnacott Plans for Gradual Gold-Price Increasestheoretical
156
Freely Flexible Exchange Rates: Opening and Fixed-Rate Prerequisitestheoretical
157
Adjustable Pegs, Fundamental Disequilibrium, and Speculationtheoretical
158
Advocates of Flexible Rates and the Consistency Problem of Monetary Autonomytheoretical
159
Practical Transition to Flexible Rates, Reserve-Currency Obligations, and Goldtheoretical
160
Concluding Remarks on Plans for International Monetary Reformtheoretical
161
Part Five Introduction: Capital Movements and the Transfer Problemchapter
162
Preview of Chapters XV–XX: Transfer Problem, Reparations, and Capital Movementschapter
163
Major Themes in the Transfer Problemtheoretical
164
Earlier Versions and Record of Changes for Chapters XV–XIXbibliography
165
Publication Note for Chapter XX: Capital Movements and Trade Balancebibliography
166
Chapter XV: The Transfer Problem—Theme and Four Variations, Introductionchapter
167
Variation I: Britain, 1793–1816chapter
168
Variation II: France, 1871–1875chapter
169
French Indemnity Payments and Foreign Trade Adjustmentchapter
170
Variation III: Germany, 1924-1932chapter
171
Variation IV: United States, 1950-1963chapter
172
United States Foreign Payments, Trade Balances, and the Transfer Problem, 1949-1961essay
173
Coda Opening: Comparison of Four Historical Transfer Casesessay
174
Continuation of Footnote 19 on Grants, Foreign Aid, and Tied Transfersfootnotes
175
Table XV-11: Ratios of Foreign Payments to National Income and Foreign-Trade Volumechapter
176
Conclusion to Chapter XV: U.S. Transfer Burden and Qualificationstheoretical
177
Foreign Debts, Reparations, and the Transfer Problem: Opening Thesischapter
178
The Facts: German Foreign Borrowing and Its Usestheoretical
179
The Concern for the Future: Repayment, Taxation, and Capital Straintheoretical
180
The Supposed Explanation of the Alarm: Balance of Payments and Currency Stabilitytheoretical
181
Foreign Debts, Reparations, and the Transfer Problem: Schacht, Ricardo, and Balance-of-Payments Fearstheoretical
182
Sequence Models of Capital Inflow and Loan Repaymenttheoretical
183
Money Supply and Trade Balancetheoretical
184
Foreign loans, central-bank circulation, and the mechanics of reparations transfertheoretical
185
Objections and qualifications: tariffs, free trade, and continuing reparations paymentstheoretical
186
Transfer Failure and the Budgetary Problemtheoretical
187
Transfer and Price Effects: Introduction and a Limiting Casechapter
188
Four Keynesian Propositions on Transfertheoretical
189
The Required Reduction of Pricestheoretical
190
Low Elasticities of Demand for Export Goodstheoretical
191
The Required Reduction of Wagestheoretical
192
The Double Burden upon Incomestheoretical
193
The Loss of Money and the Loss of Goodstheoretical
194
Commodity Value of Reparations and the Terms of Tradetheoretical
195
Commodity Value of Reparations and Terminological Ambiguitytheoretical
196
Postscript After 35 Years: Reassessment of the Transfer Problemessay
197
The Transfer Problem: Assumptions and Transferable Portion without Price Effectschapter
198
Alternative Routes: Income Effects, Price Effects, and Deflationchapter
199
Transfer Problem, Price Flexibility, and Foreign Expansion: Conclusion with Notestheoretical
200
XIX. The Transfer Problem Revisited: Introductionchapter
201
A Restatement of the Transfer Problemtheoretical
202
A Semantic Analysis: Opening Taxonomytheoretical
203
A Semantic Analysis: Shortage of Foreign Exchange for Transfertheoretical
204
Political Difficulties in Executing Transfer Policiestheoretical
205
Economic Sacrifices: Primary Burden and Price Effectstheoretical
206
Output Losses and the Evolution of Transfer Analysistheoretical
207
Transfer under Conditions of Growththeoretical
208
Transfer Obligations, Growth, and Warranted Domestic Disbursementstheoretical
209
Leave-Takingessay
210
Capital Movements and Trade Balance: Introduction and Accommodating Capital Exportschapter
211
Accommodating Foreign Lending: Motives and Categoriestheoretical
212
Spontaneous Capital Exports, Net Capital Flows, and the Trade Balancetheoretical
213
Alternative Sequencing of Canadian Borrowing and Import Surplusesfootnotes
214
Types of Autonomous Capital Movements: Framework and Taxonomytheoretical
215
Autonomous but Non-Spontaneous Capital Flows and Joint Spontaneitytheoretical
216
Primary Disbursements in the Capital-Exporting Countrytheoretical
217
Primary Disbursements in the Capital-Importing Countrytheoretical
218
Spontaneous Securities Sales, Foreign Issues, and Primary Disbursementstheoretical
219
Reasonable Assumptions for Subsequent Income and Trade Analysistheoretical
220
Index A–Mbibliography
221
Index (continued): Misplaced Concreteness to Zolotasbibliography