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Über die Genauigkeit wirtschaftlicher Beobachtungen
1950
by
Morgenstern
Oskar Morgenstern
Mathematical Economics
Methodology
League of Nations
Game Theory
Indifference Curves
Milton Friedman
Price Theory
Gold Reserves
Marshall Plan
National Income
Demography
Federal Reserve
Monopolistic Competition
John von Neumann
Business Cycles
Exchange Rates
Leon Walras
Capital Consumption
Exchange Control
Accounting
Depreciation
Lujo Brentano
Ragnar Frisch
Gold Standard
Vilfredo Pareto
Economic Development
Planned Economy
Price Stability
Profit and Loss
Unemployment
Balance of Payments
International Trade
Capital Movements
Production Costs
Bank of England
Comparative Advantage
Terms of Trade
Irving Fisher
Raw Materials
Economic Policy
Insurance
Paul Samuelson
Labor Theory of Value
Cold War
Monetary Policy
Labor Market
Table of Contents · 74 segments
1
Title Page, Publication Details, and Copyright
essay
2
Preface to the German Edition
essay
3
Preface to the Second American Edition
essay
4
Contents, Tables, Figures, and Epigraph
essay
5
Part I, Chapter I: The Nature of Economic Data—Social-Scientific and Natural-Scientific Statistics
chapter
6
Presentation of Economic Statistics
chapter
7
Sources and Errors of Economic Statistics: Introduction
chapter
8
Absence of Planned Experiments
chapter
9
Concealment of Information and Lies
chapter
10
Observer Training and Questionnaire-Induced Errors
chapter
11
Mass Observations and Proliferating Data
chapter
12
Lack of Definitions or Classifications
theoretical
13
Errors Caused by Instruments
theoretical
14
The Time Factor and Observation of Unique Events
theoretical
15
Interdependence and Stability of Errors
theoretical
16
Spurious Accuracy
chapter
17
Irrelevance as Pseudo-Accuracy
theoretical
18
Functional Pseudo-Accuracy and Meaningless Statistics
theoretical
19
Business Accounting as a Source of Economic Statistics
theoretical
20
The Concept of Error in Accounting
theoretical
21
Economic Data, Observation, and Theory
theoretical
22
Econometric Theory and the Problem of Data Accuracy
theoretical
23
Fine Structure of Economic Theory and Required Measurement Precision
theoretical
24
Numerical-Mathematical Operations in Economics: General Considerations
chapter
25
The Four Sources of Error in Numerical Economic Calculation
theoretical
26
Interpreting Error Propagation, Stability, and Econometric Model Sensitivity
theoretical
27
Chapter VII: Data and Decisions
chapter
28
Quantitative and Qualitative Elements in Decisions
chapter
29
Goals and Solutions
chapter
30
Introduction to Part II: Errors in Economic Statistics
chapter
31
Foreign Trade Statistics: Introductory Remarks
chapter
32
Statistics on Gold Movements: Introduction
chapter
33
Uses of Gold Movement Statistics and the Ferraris Comparison Test
chapter
34
Validity Test: Hypothesis for Comparing Corresponding Gold Records
chapter
35
Validity Test: Sample Design, Figures, and Annual Results
chapter
36
Failure of the Gold Movement Statistics for Correlation and Fine-Structure Analysis
chapter
37
Further Tests: Net Gold Movements, Cumulative Differences, and Statistical Measures
chapter
38
Explaining Discrepancies in Gold Statistics: Secrecy, Classification, Earmarking, and Aggregation
chapter
39
Summary and Consequences for Economic Theory
chapter
40
Foreign Trade Statistics
chapter
41
Concluding Remarks on Foreign Trade and Balance-of-Payments Statistics
chapter
42
Chapter X: Price Statistics
chapter
43
Price Statistics: Measuring Prices
chapter
44
Price Statistics: Price Indices
chapter
45
Mining Statistics: Introduction and Scope of Coverage
chapter
46
Mining Statistics: Reliability of Estimates and Bureau Comparisons
chapter
47
Mining Statistics: Concluding Remarks on Discrepancies and False Precision
chapter
48
Agricultural Statistics: Importance
chapter
49
Price Statistics: Errors and Index Numbers
chapter
50
Agricultural Statistics: Historical Development and Estimation Methods
chapter
51
Measuring Accuracy in Agricultural Statistics
chapter
52
Table 16: Comparing Census and USDA Crop Statistics
chapter
53
Interpreting Agricultural Statistical Discrepancies and Revisions
chapter
54
Chapter XIII: The Importance of Employment and Unemployment Data
chapter
55
Main U.S. Employment Statistics and Their Definitions
chapter
56
Employment and Unemployment Statistics: Discrepancies, Errors, Historical Estimates, Full Employment, and International Comparisons
chapter
57
Introduction to National Income Statistics and Measurement Accuracy
chapter
58
Conceptual Framework of National Income Accounting
chapter
59
Types and Measurement of Errors in National Income Statistics
chapter
60
Direct Expert Estimates of Error Ranges in National Income Statistics
chapter
61
Income and Product Accounting in the United States
chapter
62
Absolute Size of U.S. National Income Estimates and Revisions
chapter
63
Relative Changes, Quarterly Revisions, and Reliability of U.S. National Income Series
chapter
64
British National Income Statistics, Reliability Grades, and Revisions
chapter
65
International Comparisons of National Income
chapter
66
Introduction to Growth Statistics and Growth Rates
chapter
67
The Concept of Economic Growth
theoretical
68
The Accuracy of Growth Rates
theoretical
69
The Choice of the Base Year
theoretical
70
International Comparisons of Growth Rates and Comparisons Between Periods
essay
71
Future Development
chapter
72
Bibliographic Note
bibliography
73
Author Index
bibliography
74
Subject Index
bibliography