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On the Accuracy of Economic Observations
1950
by
Morgenstern
Oskar Morgenstern
Mathematical Economics
Methodology
Game Theory
John von Neumann
Knowledge Economics
Monopolistic Competition
Business Cycles
Exchange Rates
Speculation
Zurechnung
Exchange Control
Depreciation
Marginal Cost
Valuation
Accounting
Lujo Brentano
Ragnar Frisch
National Income
Leon Walras
Vilfredo Pareto
Wages
Price Theory
Gold Standard
Price Stability
Profit and Loss
Unemployment
Balance of Payments
International Trade
Capital Movements
Central Banking
Interest Rates
League of Nations
Comparative Advantage
Terms of Trade
Irving Fisher
Price Level
Raw Materials
Labor Market
Economic Development
Capital Consumption
Economic Policy
Fiscal Policy
Monetary Policy
Standard of Living
Cold War
Federal Reserve
Table of Contents · 70 segments
1
Front Matter and Title Page
essay
2
Preface to the First Edition
essay
3
Preface to the Second Edition
essay
4
Contents, Tables, Figures, and Part One Epigraph
essay
5
Chapter I, Section 1: Social and Physical Statistics
chapter
6
Chapter I, Section 2: The Reporting of Economic Statistics
chapter
7
Chapter II, Introduction and Sections 1–2: Designed Experiments, Hidden Information, and Lies
chapter
8
Chapter II, Sections 3–4: Observer Training and Questionnaire Errors
chapter
9
Chapter II, Section 5: Mass Observations
chapter
10
Chapter II, Section 6: Lack of Definition or Classification
chapter
11
Errors of Instruments
theoretical
12
The Factor of Time and Observations of Unique Phenomena
theoretical
13
Interdependence and Stability of Errors
theoretical
14
Specious Accuracy: Irrelevance
chapter
15
Functionally False Statistics and Meaningless Statistics
theoretical
16
Business Accounting as a Form and Source of Statistics: Nature and Components of Business Accounts
chapter
17
The Notion of Error in Accounting
theoretical
18
Economic Data and Economic Theory: Data and Information
chapter
19
Econometric Theory
theoretical
20
The Degree of Fine Structure of Economic Theory
theoretical
21
Numerical-Mathematical Operations in Economics: General Considerations
chapter
22
The Four Sources of Error
theoretical
23
Interpretation of Computational Errors and Opening of Data and Decision Making
theoretical
24
Chapter VII, Section 1: Quantitative and Qualitative Elements in Decisions
chapter
25
Chapter VII, Section 2: Goals and Solutions
chapter
26
Chapter VIII: Introduction to Errors in Economic Statistics
chapter
27
Chapter IX, Section 1: Foreign Trade Statistics—Introductory Remarks
chapter
28
Chapter IX, Section 2a: Statistics of Gold Movements—Introduction
chapter
29
Chapter IX, Section 2b: Uses of Gold Movement Statistics
chapter
30
Chapter IX, Section 2c: The Test of Validity
chapter
31
Continuation of §2: Statistics of Gold Movements
essay
32
§3: Statistics of Foreign Commodity Trade
essay
33
§4: Concluding Remarks on Foreign Trade Statistics
essay
34
Chapter X: Price Statistics
chapter
35
Price Statistics: The Measurement of Price
chapter
36
Price Statistics: Price Index Numbers
chapter
37
Price Statistics: Errors and Index Numbers
chapter
38
Mining Statistics: Introduction
chapter
39
Mining Statistics: The Extent of the Coverage
chapter
40
Mining Statistics: Reliability of the Estimates
chapter
41
Mining Statistics: Conclusion
chapter
42
Agricultural Statistics: Significance of Agricultural Statistics
chapter
43
Agricultural Statistics: History, Estimates, and Measurement of Accuracy
chapter
44
Employment and Unemployment Statistics: Chapter Heading
chapter
45
Significance of Unemployment Data
chapter
46
Principal Employment Series in the United States
chapter
47
Divergencies Among Principal Labor Force Series
chapter
48
Errors in Census-MRLF Employment Statistics
chapter
49
Report of the President's Committee to Appraise Employment and Unemployment Statistics
chapter
50
Historical Note on U.S. Unemployment Estimates
chapter
51
Determining Full Employment Figures
chapter
52
International Comparisons of Unemployment Rates
chapter
53
Introduction to National Income Statistics
chapter
54
Concepts of National Income
theoretical
55
Types of Errors in National Income Statistics
theoretical
56
Measurement of Error
chapter
57
Direct Estimates of Error by Expert Judgment
chapter
58
Income vs. Product
chapter
59
Absolute Size of the Estimates, Relative Changes and Revisions
chapter
60
British National Income Statistics and Revisions
chapter
61
International Comparisons of National Incomes
chapter
62
Growth Statistics and Growth Rates: Introduction
chapter
63
The Concept of Economic Growth
chapter
64
The Accuracy of Growth Rates
chapter
65
Base Years and International Comparisons of Growth Rates
chapter
66
Orientation of Further Research
chapter
67
Bibliography: Chapters I and II
bibliography
68
Bibliography (continued): Chapters IV–XV
bibliography
69
Index
bibliography
70
Library Date Due and Catalog Card Material
bibliography