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Le lancinant problème des balances de paiements

Jacques Rueff · 1966

Le lancinant problème des balances de paiements

74 sections
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Jacques Rueff, Le lancinant problème de la balance des paiements

Rueff’s book reverses the premise of the 1965 monetary debate: the United States deficit is not a problem to be solved before reforming the international monetary system, but a symptom of a system that prevents normal correction. The issue is causal, and Rueff gives it the form of a recurring puzzle:

C'est là que gît le problème de l'œuf et de la poule.

English translation: Therein lies the problem of the chicken and the egg.

If external balances are discretionary aggregates or fixed by trade structure, then controls, quotas, and exchange rationing seem necessary. Rueff’s thesis is the opposite: balances of payments are governed by monetary mechanisms, and disequilibrium persists when institutions neutralize those mechanisms.

The book’s structure serves this argument. Rueff first assembles historical episodes—the 1960s American deficit, the postwar dollar shortage, exchange control, reparations, and the trade-balance fallacy—then reconstructs the theory able to explain them.

La première partie présente surtout des faits.

English translation: The first part presents above all facts.

Balanced payments, he insists, are too unlikely to be accidental; their recurrence points to regulation.

Le principal caractère d'une balance des paiements équilibrée, c'est son extrême improbabilité.

English translation: The principal characteristic of a balanced balance of payments is its extreme improbability.

Rueff’s mechanism is double. A deficit creates an income effect, since purchasing power has been spent abroad rather than at home, and a money effect, since cash balances fall and money-market pressure rises. Under convertibility and sound discount policy, residents must sell more, buy less, attract funds, or lose reserves; trade and capital flows adjust. But postwar arrangements block the process. The dollar shortage was not natural scarcity but inflation plus institutions that prevented deficits from contracting demand. The gold-exchange standard then let foreign central banks hold dollars and reinvest them in New York, returning to the debtor country the purchasing power it should have lost.

Dans l'état actuel des relations monétaires internationales, il n'existe aucune raison d'ordre financier pour que les balances des paiements soient équilibrées.

English translation: In the present state of international monetary relations, there exists no financial reason whatsoever for balances of payments to be in equilibrium.

The reparations chapters give the argument its classical test. Against Keynes’s claim that exports have a difficult-to-alter natural level, Rueff argues that transfer itself changes demand, prices, imports, and exports. Germany’s real limit was not an external “transfer capacity” but the internal fiscal ability to raise resources without disorder.

Le problème n'est donc pas un problème de transfert, mais un problème budgétaire

English translation: The problem is therefore not a problem of transfer, but a budgetary problem.

The same move grounds his attack on the trade-balance fallacy: a merchandise surplus is not inherently favorable, nor a deficit unfavorable. Creditors may import more because invisible receipts finance them; debtors may export more because they must service obligations.

In the theoretical part, Rueff modifies Say’s law by locating disequilibrium in the gap between effective and desired cash balances. Credit is noninflationary when it monetizes real, self-liquidating claims desired by money-users; inflation comes from false claims, especially Treasury paper that cannot truly be repaid. Money is therefore not a passive stock commanded by authorities:

La monnaie, dans nos sociétés complexes, n'est jamais la masse inerte qu'envisagent les théories mécanistes des phénomènes monétaires.

English translation: Money, in our complex societies, is never the inert mass envisaged by mechanistic theories of monetary phenomena.

Users of money determine desired balances by buying less and selling more, or the reverse. The discount rate is the key threshold: if properly set, deficits are corrected through trade and income adjustment; if too low or subordinated to fiscal deficits, reserves drain and regulation fails.

Rueff’s liberalism is thus institutional, not laissez-faire indifference. Freedom depends on monetary arrangements that make responsibility, convertibility, and price signals effective.

La liberté n'est pas un don gratuit. Elle exige des systèmes monétaires efficaces.

English translation: Liberty is not a free gift. It requires efficient monetary systems.

The book remains relevant because it treats balance-of-payments disorder as a constitutional defect of international money, not as a collection of trade complaints.

Sections

This work was divided into 74 sections when it entered the library's research corpus—an apparatus for search and citation, not necessarily the author's own table of contents. Each title opens its summary.

  1. 1Title Page and Payot Series Catalog▾
  2. 2Bibliography of Works by Jacques Rueff▾
  3. 3Publication Data and Dedication▾
  4. 4Introduction: The Egg-and-Chicken Problem of Balance of Payments▾
  5. 5Introduction: Purpose of Rueff’s balance-of-payments theory▾
  6. 6Part I and Chapter 1 opening: the balance-of-payments problem of the 1960s▾
  7. 7The world importance of the U.S. balance of payments▾
  8. 8The U.S. government’s position on international liquidity and deficit correction▾
  9. 9Economists, Keynes, and Rueff on balance-of-payments theory▾
  10. 10Facts of equilibrium: empirical evidence for spontaneous balance-of-payments adjustment▾
  11. 11Facts of Disequilibrium: The Dollar Shortage▾
  12. 12Facts of Disequilibrium: The Gold-Exchange-Standard Effect▾
  13. 13Sketch of a Theory of Balances of Payments▾
  14. 14Political Conclusion on the U.S. Balance of Payments▾
  15. 15General Closing Observations on Monetary Research and Freedom▾
  16. 16Chapter II opening and empirical evidence on the 1949 balance of payments problem▾
  17. 17Outline of Rueff’s theory of balance of payments adjustment▾
  18. 18Effectiveness and sensitivity of stabilizing monetary mechanisms▾
  19. 19Inflation as a perversion of monetary adjustment and explanation of dollar scarcity▾
  20. 20Marshall Plan counterpart funds and IMF practices as deficit-maintaining mechanisms▾
  21. 21Planning international exchange versus restoring monetary mechanisms▾
  22. 22Policy conclusion: restore convertibility through Marshall Plan gold reserves and financial stabilization▾
  23. 23The Import-Export Plan and the Scarcity of Foreign Exchange▾
  24. 24Automatic Prewar Balance-of-Payments Adjustment▾
  25. 25Exchange Controls, Clearings, and the IMF as Broken Stabilizers▾
  26. 26National Planning Failures in International Trade▾
  27. 27The Illusion of Bretton Woods Planning and Arbitrary Allocation▾
  28. 28Convertibility, Civilization, and Social Policy▾
  29. 29Customs Unions and the Opening of Chapter IV▾
  30. 30Chapter IV Opening: The 1928 Problem and the Economic Error of Organizing Transfers▾
  31. 31The Theory of Transfers▾
  32. 32Automatic Equilibrium of International Settlements before the War▾
  33. 33France’s Trade Balance since 1914▾
  34. 34Prices and the Equilibrium of International Payments▾
  35. 35France from 1919 to 1922: Price Disparity and Trade Adjustment▾
  36. 36Monetary Depreciation and the Transfer Problem▾
  37. 37The Budgetary Point of View▾
  38. 38Germany’s Payment Capacity, Budgetary Limits, and Forms of Reparation Payment▾
  39. 39Keynes on Transfers: Budgetary and Real-Wage Objections▾
  40. 40Keynes’s Resistance Thesis and Rueff’s Empirical Test▾
  41. 41French Evidence: Allied Credits, Trade Balance, and Capital Exports▾
  42. 42Historical and Postwar Evidence Against a Natural Level of Exports▾
  43. 43Tariffs, Transfer Limits, and the Political Significance of Economic Fluidity▾
  44. 44A Perennial Error: The Trade Balance Argument, Opening Critique▾
  45. 45Bastiat’s Three Captains Parable Against the Trade Balance Fallacy▾
  46. 46Automatic Equilibrium of the Balance of Payments▾
  47. 47Policy Consequences: Tariffs, Quotas, Exchange Controls, and the Illusion of Managing Trade Balances▾
  48. 48Introduction to Part Two: Elements for a Theory of the Balance of Payments▾
  49. 49Chapter VI Introduction: Monetary Regulation and the Institutional Problem of Money▾
  50. 50Measuring Aggregate Demand▾
  51. 51Credit and Discounting▾
  52. 52Monetary Regulation▾
  53. 53Inflation▾
  54. 54The Parable of the Dinner▾
  55. 55Balance of Payments Equilibrium▾
  56. 56The New Commandment of Austerity▾
  57. 57The Institutional Problem of Money▾
  58. 58Chapter VII outline and source note▾
  59. 59Living money, monetary authorities, and the sovereignty of money users▾
  60. 60Joint price and interest-rate effects of supply increases or demand reductions▾
  61. 61Cash-balance supply in monetary systems and totally inelastic money▾
  62. 62Cash-balance supply under exclusively metallic money▾
  63. 63Credit monetization, the discount rate, and gold-exchange-standard adjustment▾
  64. 64Empirical confrontation: open-market operations, money markets, and central-bank limits▾
  65. 65Nature of the Discount Rate▾
  66. 66Suggestions for a Theory of International Exchange▾
  67. 67Principles of Discount Policy▾
  68. 68Economic-Philosophical Considerations and Postscript on Pierre Berger▾
  69. 69Chapter VIII: General Observations on Monetary Regulation▾
  70. 70Table of Contents: Introduction and Beginning of Part One▾
  71. 71Table of Contents Continued and Printing Note▾
  72. 72Press Reviews of The Chronic Problem of Balance of Payments▾
  73. 73Payot Advertisement for The Age of Inflation▾
  74. 74Back Cover Blurb for The Chronic Problem of Balance of Payments▾

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