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Wirtschaftliche und soziale Auswirkungen der Automation

Hans Bayer · 1956

Wirtschaftliche und soziale Auswirkungen der Automation

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Hans Bayer: Wirtschaftliche und soziale Auswirkungen der Automation (1956)

Hans Bayer’s journal article is a separately titled installment in a continuing discussion of automation. It moves from the enterprise and household to the economy as a whole, asking whether technical advances promote the material and cultural conditions of human development. Its organizing claim rejects both technological enthusiasm and indiscriminate pessimism: automation intensifies existing economic tensions, while its social consequences depend on institutions, ownership, and the distribution of power. Profitability and technical success are therefore insufficient measures of progress.

The enterprise analysis begins with automation’s organizational requirements: restricted product types, substantial capital investment, and intensive use of capacity. Better information, greater precision, improved quality, and labor savings come with reduced flexibility. Large enterprises can counter this rigidity through diversification across specialized production lines; smaller firms cannot readily do so. Automation consequently strengthens concentration while making producers more dependent on stable demand. Rapid technological obsolescence further increases the risk attached to expensive equipment.

Nur dann also kann Automation rentabel verwendet werden, wenn der Absatz gesichert ist.

English translation: Automation can therefore be employed profitably only when sales are assured.

Securing sales becomes the link between industrial organization and consumption. Bayer distinguishes adapting products to consumers’ wishes from a “market offensive” that induces consumers to want what enterprises find profitable to produce. His discussion of forced obsolescence identifies two mechanisms: cosmetic model changes presented as necessities and deliberate reductions in durability. Both stimulate replacement purchases without corresponding improvements in satisfaction. From the household’s perspective, concentration also weakens the prospect that lower production costs will become lower prices. Advertising does not merely inform demand; it supplies particular desires that may fail to serve consumers’ actual needs. Automation’s productive advantages thus need not become household gains.

The macroeconomic analysis organizes these problems into four tensions: absolute and relative values, production and consumption, money and goods, and the individual and the whole. Bayer treats the economy as an organism whose conflicts require reconciliation at a higher level, rather than as a mechanism that automatically restores harmony. His distinction between ends and means provides the normative foundation:

Die verschiedenen Mittel der Wirtschaft, insbesondere aber auch der Technik, sind relative Werte und der Erreichung des Zieles, also der Realisierung der absoluten Werte, untergeordnet.

English translation: The various means of economic activity, especially those of technology, are relative values and are subordinate to the attainment of the goal, that is, to the realization of absolute values.

The economic goal is a durable material basis for the development of personality. Profit, power, and technology are legitimate only as means toward that end. Bayer diagnoses capitalism’s excesses as the emancipation of these means from their governing purpose: unlimited power-seeking and the worship of technology displace human development. Automation, discussed alongside atomic energy as an accelerator of technical change, magnifies the danger. His quotation from Norbert Wiener supports the concern that industrial interests appropriate new productive possibilities while leaving little benefit to the public.

Within the production–consumption relationship, Bayer separates a power effect from a disturbance effect. The former concerns prices, incomes, and dependence on capital owners. Concentration already arises from market uncertainty and attempts to reduce risk; automation strengthens it. Bayer also questions whether factor contributions can still ground income distribution when automated production makes machinery and skilled personnel inseparable.

Sobald die Kombination der Produktionsfaktoren starr ist, das heißt, sobald bei Wegfall einer Einheit eines Produktionsfaktors der Gesamterfolg in Frage gestellt ist, ist die Zurechnung theoretisch unmöglich.

English translation: As soon as the combination of production factors is rigid, that is, as soon as the loss of one unit of a production factor puts the overall result in question, imputation is theoretically impossible.

This challenges the attribution of output to separately variable inputs. If removing either the automated apparatus or its essential operators disables production, their individual contributions cannot be isolated by variation. Distribution consequently becomes more visibly a matter of power. The same problem appears between sectors: automated industries may offer higher wages and shorter hours while capturing income at the expense of branches unable to automate.

The disturbance effect concerns dynamic stability. Bayer understands invention as following technical inquiry and contingency rather than simply responding to economic demand. Economic organization must therefore accommodate an externally generated acceleration that heightens the dangers of mistaken investment, excess capacity, and unemployment. Uneven opportunities to automate can distort sectoral proportions and attract disproportionate investment into favored industries. The article raises unemployment but reserves its fuller treatment for the subsequent discussion of economic organization. Its financial analysis adds that borrowing for automation can strengthen banks and financial capital relative to producers.

The final tension concerns personal development. Bayer allows that some occupations become more intellectually demanding, but argues that work and standardized consumption may become less personal for many people. Shorter working hours matter not only for employment but also for the capacity to pursue education and cultural life. The conclusion returns technological possibility to institutional responsibility:

Es wäre vielmehr notwendig, daß die Entwicklung der Wirtschaftsverfassung mit dem technischen Fortschritt Schritt hält und dadurch in die Lage versetzt wird, die Technik der Automation in die Wirtschaft so einzubauen, daß sie die Erreichung des Zieles der Wirtschaft gewährleistet.

English translation: Rather, the development of the economic constitution would need to keep pace with technical progress and thereby become capable of integrating automation technology into the economy in such a way that it guarantees the attainment of the economy’s goal.

The installment’s significance lies in joining technical rigidity, manufactured demand, distributive power, and human development within one argument. Bayer does not yet provide the institutional remedy; he establishes why automation cannot supply that remedy by itself.

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This work was divided into 1 sections when it entered the library's research corpus—an apparatus for search and citation, not necessarily the author's own table of contents. Each title opens its summary.

  1. 1Economic and Social Consequences of Automation: Firms, Households, and Macroeconomic Tensions▾

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