Policy, Poetry, and Success. In: Shackle, On the Nature of Business Success

Name: Policy, Poetry, and Success. In: Shackle, On the Nature of Business Success
Author: G. L. S. Shackle

1968

by G. L. S. Shackle

UncertaintyEpistemologyG.L.S. ShackleMethodologyInvestmentCompetitionInnovationKnowledge EconomicsDeterminismProfit and LossInsurance

Table of Contents · 14 segments

Title, Author, and Opening Contrast Between Reason and Imaginationessay

Problems, Business Policy, and Policy-Making as Originative Artessay

Dice, Horse Racing, and the Unknown Phase-Space of Enterpriseessay

Investment, Discovery, and the Unlistability of Possible Outcomesessay

Decision as Psychic Commitment and Imaginative Choiceessay

Past Knowledge, Future Inference, and Questions for Decision Theoryessay

Scientific Stereotypes, Explanation, and Predictionessay

Variable Selection, Determinism, and Partial Connectivityessay

Business Life Without Complete Contingency Listsessay

Best and Worst Outcomes Under Simple Possibilityessay

Degrees of Possibility and Representative Threats and Promisesessay

Expectation-Elements, Focus Loss, and Focus Gainessay

Probability, Residual Hypotheses, and the Failure of Frequency Ratiosessay

Statistical Probability and the Need for Radial Imaginationessay