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Uncertainty in Economics and Other Reflections

1955

by G. L. S. Shackle

UncertaintyInterest RatesMultiplierGunnar MyrdalJohn Maynard KeynesLiquidityInsuranceMathematical EconomicsExpectationsIndifference CurvesMethodologyEntrepreneurshipEquilibriumLeon WalrasProfit and LossG.L.S. ShackleProductivityTime PreferenceBanknotesEffective DemandInvestmentMonetary PolicyTaxationDiscount RateIrving FisherKeynesian EconomicsInfrastructureJoan RobinsonUnemploymentBusiness CyclesJohn HicksSavingCapital TheoryFriedrich A. HayekKnut WicksellMonetary EquilibriumNatural Rate of InterestDeficit SpendingDeflationFiscal PolicyInflationBusiness Cycle TheoryVilfredo ParetoAnthropologyEconomic HistoryGame TheoryPolitical Philosophy

Table of Contents · 34 segments

1
Front Matter: Title Pages, Publication Data, and Publisher’s Notechapter
2
Contentschapter
3
Prefacechapter
4
Author’s Note for C.U.P.L.E. Reprintchapter
5
Acknowledgementschapter
6
Bibliography of Discussions and Applications of Expectation in Economicsbibliography
7
Part I, Chapter I: Probability and Uncertaintyessay
8
Part I, Chapter II: On the Meaning and Measure of Uncertainty: I (Beginning)essay
9
On the Meaning and Measure of Uncertainty: I — Conclusion on Potential Surpriseessay
10
On the Meaning and Measure of Uncertainty: IIessay
11
The Logic of Surprise — Opening Analysisessay
12
The Logic of Surprise (Conclusion)essay
13
‘Expectation in Economics’: Some Critics Answeredessay
14
A Non-Additive Measure of Uncertaintyessay
15
Three Versions of the φ-Surface: Some Notes for a Comparisonessay
16
The Economist’s View of Profitessay
17
The Nature and Role of Profit (Beginning)essay
18
The Nature and Role of Profit: Ex Ante and Ex Post Profit (conclusion)essay
19
The Nature of Interest-Rates: Introductory Framework and Asset Definitionsessay
20
The Nature of Interest-Rates: Portfolio Choice, Marginal Efficiency, and Savingtheoretical
21
The Nature of Interest-Rates: Yield Curves and the Cheap-Money Driveessay
22
Interest-Rates and the Pace of Investment: Theoretical Casetheoretical
23
Interest-Rates and the Pace of Investment: Business Evidence, Risk, and Doubtessay
24
The Multiplier in Closed and Open Systemsessay
25
Twenty Years On: Historical Survey of the Multiplier Doctrineessay
26
Twenty Years On: Analytical Problems of Propensity, Expectations, and Multiplier Dynamicstheoretical
27
Footnote Table I: Residual Saving with Lagged Consumptionfootnotes
28
Theory of the Multiplier (conclusion)essay
29
Myrdal's Analysis of Monetary Equilibriumessay
30
The Deflative or Inflative Tendency of Government Receipts and Disbursementsessay
31
Part IV: A Chart of Economic Theoryessay
32
Economics and Sincerityessay
33
What Makes an Economist?essay
34
Index and Library Back Matterbibliography