2,793 works, 150 years of economic thought. Each one summarized and searchable, with cited passages inside.
A long spell of rain need not mean that sunshine is due: this 1873 scientific review makes weather’s tendency to persist a challenge to everyday expectations. Bibliographically attributed to Carl Menger and signed “—r.”, it assesses meteorological research reported by R. Scott, asking how forecasting can become useful before it becomes exact. Its distinctive concern is the distance between an observed regularity and a timely basis for action. Weather lore survives forgotten failures; statistical forecasts must instead reckon with uncertainty and the limits of observation. Through concrete examples involving rainfall, temperature and storm warnings, the review shows why probabilistic knowledge can matter to farmers, navigators and grain traders without warranting confident predictions of particular events.