4,249 works (including 483 books, 3,406 articles and 357 historical documents), 150 years of economic thought. Each one summarized and searchable.
A model can suggest orderly growth and damped fluctuations without establishing that an economy is stable. This tension drives Gerhard Tintner, Gopal Kadekodi, and M. V. Rama Sastry’s essay, which treats trend and business cycle as dynamic properties of one econometric system. Applied to Indian annual data for 1954–66, their framework links agricultural production, industrial production, and manufacturing employment, with government expenditure and net imports as additional explanatory variables. The distinctive emphasis falls not simply on the trajectories implied by estimated coefficients, but on the uncertainty surrounding them. Readers can see how characteristic roots translate statistical relationships into claims about growth and oscillation—and why large sampling errors can leave those claims unresolved.