The archive.

Can an economy hoard money even when its total cash holdings remain unchanged? In this reply to R. F. Kahn’s review of Prosperity and Depression, Gottfried Haberler argues that it can: expenditure and income may fall without any reduction in the money stock. This distinction anchors his defence of a monetary account of economic fluctuations against Kahn’s criticisms. Haberler’s distinctive concern is to separate differences of vocabulary from differences of explanation—especially where saving–investment identities threaten to substitute for accounts of how adjustment occurs. His qualified acceptance of public works sharpens the stakes: additional government spending must increase total demand, not merely displace expenditure elsewhere. The reply offers a focused encounter with the contested boundary between monetary circulation, effective demand, and the financing of recovery.

A comprehensive account of trade controls is not necessarily an account of trade planning. This distinction anchors Gottfried Haberler’s brief 1940 review of Heinrich Heuser’s Control of International Trade. Haberler values the book’s otherwise hard-to-find material on import quotas, exchange controls, and bilateral clearing and payment agreements, while noting its omission of the broader planning questions raised by the Russian and German systems. His judgement gives teachers of international trade a concrete assessment of the book’s usefulness, tempered by criticism of its editing and organization. The review offers a compact example of how Haberler separates descriptive coverage, theoretical analysis, and practical usability in assessing economic scholarship.

When a household buys a car on monthly instalments, does that credit drive the business cycle or merely ride it? This National Bureau study, completed as Regulation W brought consumer credit under wartime control, argues firmly for the second view. Haberler defines instalment credit narrowly — scheduled repayment, finance charge, short maturity, a negotiable instrument — and shifts attention from the stock of debt outstanding to the flow of net credit change, the excess of new lending over repayments, which he takes as its direct contribution to effective demand. Durable-goods purchases, especially automobiles, make that flow cyclically volatile and, through the acceleration principle formalized in Samuelson's appendix, magnify swings in output. Yet credit follows income rather than leading it; between the oversaving arguments of Keynes and Hansen and the Austrian warnings of Hayek and Mises, Haberler places credit as amplifier, not motor.

The dog wags the tail and not the tail the dog.

A quota is not a tariff by another name, even when both cut imports to the same level: where a duty preserves market allocation, price contact between countries, and revenue for the treasury, a quantitative control rigidly fixes quantities, breeds monopoly and quota rents, and shifts power from legislatures to administrators. Written in 1943 with an eye to the postwar settlement, this study traces how licensing born of wartime scarcity hardened, through the sterling crisis and the gold bloc's defensive measures, into a standing tool of protection, retaliation, and bilateral bargaining that fragmented 1930s trade. Haberler roots the persistence of controls in monetary instability and political insecurity, and sets the Atlantic Charter's promise of equal access against the drift toward autarky, warning that a tightly controlled trade system cannot long coexist with a free domestic economy.

From being isolated measures to limit the importation of a few specific commodities, they came to be consciously used in many countries as a general instrument of protection.

Written in 1943 with postwar reconstruction already in view, this chapter poses a constitutional rather than merely tariff question: whether international cooperation should be built through universal institutions or through larger regional and continental federations. Haberler answers cautiously. Larger markets do permit mass production and a wider division of labour, but that gain belongs to nondiscriminatory liberalization, not to protected spheres, so he separates the complete customs union, which genuinely enlarges a market, from the incomplete preference, which merely diverts imports from cheaper outsiders to favoured insiders and hands them a windfall. Dismantling Pan-Europe, Pan-America, and Danubian schemes as geographically incoherent or coercive, he anticipates the later vocabulary of trade creation and diversion, and warns that partial blocs turn cooperation into exclusion.

To put the question the other way around: suppose that some machinery for international co-operation on a worldwide scale, like the League of Nations, is set up; should it be based on regional blocs or on independent states?

Ten years after The General Theory appeared — and in the year of Keynes's death — Haberler set out to weigh the book as a scientific system rather than an object of discipleship, a verdict he revisits sixteen years on without softening it. He grants Keynes the systematic use of income effects, the multiplier, and a transformed vocabulary of macroeconomic model-building, but denies any overturning of monetary and cycle theory's logical foundations. The demonstration of a static competitive underemployment equilibrium, he argues, rests entirely on money-wage rigidity; admit flexible wages and the Keynes and Pigou effects erode it. Say's Law, properly stated, had already been abandoned by serious neoclassical theorists. Praise without idolatry is the essay's discipline.

Hero worship is nowhere less appropriate than in science.

A devalued currency may pull the exchange market back toward balance or drive it further from it, and telling the two cases apart is the whole problem here. Haberler builds a static two-country skeleton, deriving the demand and supply of foreign currency from underlying import and export schedules and defining stability by how a deficit responds to a falling exchange rate. A negatively inclined supply curve of foreign exchange, he shows, can make depreciation worsen the very deficit it was meant to cure. Recasting the Marshall-Lerner condition as a special case of a broader exchange-market stability rule, he insists that currency-market curves must never be confused with the commodity curves beneath them, and resists the 'elasticity pessimism' of postwar dollar-scarcity debates.

But the free price mechanism could not achieve that result; it would drive the exchange rate in the wrong direction.

Rebuilding a scholarly discipline after a world war is partly a matter of statutes, dues, and committee votes — and this report captures economics doing exactly that. Writing for the American Economic Association, Haberler argues for joining the newly forming International Economic Association, whose design meets the conditions Princeton had set: a modest structure resting on existing national bodies, financed but not governed by UNESCO, and cheap to support at $200 in annual dues. He recounts the April 1949 Paris meeting, the draft statutes reviewed paragraph by paragraph, and the interim slate of officers awaiting the Council's confirmation. Behind the procedural surface lies a real transition: economics reconstituting itself as an organized international profession through deliberately limited cooperation.

In accordance with the Interim Arrangements provided in the Draft Statutes, the Interim Committee nominated Professor Schumpeter as President, M. Rueff as Vice President, and Ronald Walker (Australia) as Treasurer of the I.E.A.

Haberler builds the theory of comparative cost from a two-country, two-commodity opportunity-cost model, then presses on the imperfections that critics invoke to justify protection. A mere catalogue of deviations from the competitive ideal, he insists, proves only possibility, not necessity: factor immobility alone leaves trade welfare-improving so long as factor prices stay flexible, and it is rigid wages—especially those maintained by unions—that generate the unemployment which can make trade inferior to autarky. Even then protection is a second-best, largely short-run remedy. He extends the same discipline to external economies, showing how unrecognised ones can make a country appear to hold a comparative advantage in the wrong commodity, and to the infant-industry argument, which he accepts in principle while noting it can equally counsel freer trade.

It can be easily shown, however, that what really causes trouble and may make trade detrimental and justify protection is rigidity of factor prices, which may or may not be associated with immobility of factors.

International trade is governed proximately by money prices and money costs, yet exchange-rate complications and pre-trade cost comparisons make the doctrine of comparative advantage easy to misread. Setting the Marshall-Viner real-cost approach against opportunity cost—which he defends as a workable approximation to general-equilibrium theory—Haberler concedes that increasing returns, monopoly, wage rigidity, and external economies all qualify the free-trade case, then argues that liberal policy remains preferable precisely because interventionist systems obscure the comparative costs on which rational choice depends. The paired concluding remarks turn to the postwar dollar shortage, where he sides with the optimists against structural pessimism, credits the 1949 sterling devaluation and disinflation with vindicating the classical adjustment mechanism, and rejects discriminatory restrictions against dollar goods in favour of non-discrimination and the most-favoured-nation principle.

Non-discrimination like honesty still remains the best policy.

At the heart of Schumpeter's theory of capitalist development lies a startling doctrine: a stationary circular-flow economy would have a zero rate of interest, and the positive rate observed under capitalism springs entirely from innovation financed by newly created bank credit. Haberler weighs this extreme version against a milder one and finds the extreme untenable, since it demands both the absence of time preference and zero marginal productivity of capital, assumptions he doubts once routine investment and ordinary impatience are admitted. Yet he defends Schumpeter's larger dynamic account, ranking its disequilibrium approach above the excessively static equilibrium theory of Mises and Hayek, who deny that credit expansion can permanently enrich the capital stock. The comparative question of whether dynamics raises or lowers interest, he concludes, is a comparatively unimportant detail.

The extreme version of his theory is hardly acceptable.

That devaluing a currency must worsen a country's terms of trade was, in 1952, an assumption widely taken for granted, and this compact theoretical note, reprinted here, sets out to dismantle it. Haberler's thesis is deliberately asymmetrical: in the normal case, where depreciation improves the balance of payments, the terms of trade may move either way and cannot be predicted a priori; only in the perverse case, where the balance of payments worsens, must they deteriorate. Working through demand and supply curves priced in dollars, he shows that a depreciation lowers both export and import prices measured in dollars, so one cannot pair dearer imports with cheaper exports and infer a loss. Against Joan Robinson's presumption that supply elasticities generally exceed demand elasticities, he denies that any broad generalization holds.

We have, then, the result that export and import prices move in the same direction.