4,366 works (including 487 books, 3,476 articles and 400 historical documents), 150 years of economic thought. Each one summarized and searchable.
Can a growth model describe an economy changing its productive structure, rather than merely expanding at a constant rate? J. K. Sengupta and Gerhard Tintner approach this problem through a mixed-logistic trend: growth slows towards a limit, but technological, demographic, and organizational changes can shift that limit. Their article connects this account of aggregate income to a two-sector model of the changing balance between producer and consumer goods. Historical estimates for the United States and Britain make the proposal empirically testable while exposing its limits: rising fitted ceilings do not themselves explain why economic regimes change. The article offers a concrete encounter with the gap between specifying a plausible growth path and identifying the forces that produce it.